LiveThreat Intelligence Brief — Russia’s New Generation Warfare (NGW) in Europe
What Happened — Russia is expected to expand its hybrid‑warfare playbook into a coordinated “New Generation Warfare” (NGW) campaign across NATO member states over the next two years, blending cyber attacks, sabotage, influence operations, and kinetic provocations. The campaign is designed to erode political unity, degrade critical infrastructure, and create conditions for possible future kinetic incursions.
Why It Matters for TPRM —
- Elevated risk of supply‑chain disruption for vendors operating in Europe.
- Increased likelihood of reputational damage from being targeted in Russian influence operations.
- Potential for coordinated cyber‑physical attacks on critical infrastructure affecting service continuity.
Who Is Affected — Government agencies, energy & utilities, transportation & aviation, aerospace, finance, and any third‑party service providers with NATO‑linked operations.
Recommended Actions — Review and harden cyber‑physical controls, monitor geopolitical threat feeds, validate incident‑response and business‑continuity plans, and assess vendor exposure to Russian influence campaigns.
Technical Notes — The NGW model leverages simultaneous cyber DDoS, drone incursions, and propaganda dissemination. No specific CVEs are cited; the threat relies on opportunistic exploitation of existing vulnerabilities and supply‑chain dependencies. Source: https://www.recordedfuture.com/research/preparing-for-russias-new-generation-warfare-in-europe